A comment to my recent post about the shift to Internet or Cloud based applications raised an important issue: what about access to the Cloud? What if I have my genealogical data stored on an online database and cannot access that data for any number of possible reasons? Fundamentally, this is the same issue we have with any storage media, including paper. What happens if I have all my genealogy on paper forms and there is a fire or a flood? Ultimately, what happens to our genealogical research when we die?
There are always contingencies. In the world of online computing, there seems to be a basic assumption that access to the Internet (the term "the Cloud" is merely a coined term for the Web) is a given. Lack of access can happen at any level; you might have an equipment failure, a software or operating system failure, a physical disaster or any other type of event that interrupt service. But Internet service has moved from being a luxury to becoming a utility. When telephone or electrical service are interrupted for any reason, it becomes a local or national emergency and power and service are restored as soon as humanly possible. Internet connection service now falls in that same category. So, I assume that the real question is more like what happens if I can no longer afford telephone or electrical service?
There seems to be a societal assumption in the United States that people are somehow entitled to basic utilities. Here in Arizona, there are programs to help people keep their electrical and water service, even if they cannot pay for it, for an extended period of time. Losing electricity when it is 119 degrees outside can be fatal. But the real issue, when we are talking about genealogy, is who has ultimate control over the data files I create?
Assuming that Cloud or Internet based applications become pervasive, where will the data reside and who will ultimately have control of that data? The model of the system now looks a little like this:
User (genealogist) => Local genealogy program => Data on local storage device => Copy to Internet => Synchronizing local and remote copy of data
The new model is probably more like this:
User (genealogist) => Online or Cloud based program => Data on remote Cloud based server => Copy to local storage (optional)
The idea of local ownership of the "genealogical data" is likely to become modified. Whether or not future genealogists (or even people in general) will consider the local storage option necessary is one of the factors that could go either way. But if you look at a program such as Family Tree Maker from Ancestry.com, you will see the direction the market will likely take. There are probably many more people who have their "genealogy" online on Ancestry.com's Public Member Family Trees than maintain their own personal database on the local program. One question that came up asked, "How do you maintain your files when you have them in multiple locations?" More needs to be said about this, but basically, the model of the future is integration of the data in multiple locations with the ability to synchronize different databases.