Some people eat, sleep and chew gum, I do genealogy and write...

Monday, February 11, 2019

Free MyHeritage Marriage Records for Valentine’s Day!

https://blog.myheritage.com/2019/02/free-marriage-records-for-valentines-day/
Quoting from the MyHeritage.com blog post entitled, "Free Marriage Records for Valentine’s Day!"
Do you know the love stories of your ancestors? How did your great-grandparents meet and get to know each other? In honor of Valentine’s Day, we’re providing free access to love-related records in our massive historical records collection during February 10-17. No Data subscription is required so you may search all U.S. states, European and worldwide collections for your ancestors’ marriage records! 
Search free marriage records on SuperSearch™
 Marriage records are an important genealogical record as they not only include information about the bride, the groom, and their residence when the marriage occurred but often contain additional information such as birth dates, birthplaces, occupations, as well as religious affiliations. Often a marriage license will also contain information about the parents of the bride and groom including their names and birthplaces. Each state and country has different requirements for that information so different records have varying data. 
In addition, don’t forget to enter our Valentine’s Day Competition! Send in your ancestor’s love letters to stories@myheritage.com for a chance to win a MyHeritage DNA kit! 
♥ ♥ Happy Valentine’s Day! ♥ ♥

Announcing MyHeritage LIVE 2019

https://live2019.myheritage.com/
I am excited to announce MyHeritage.com's LIVE 2019 conference to be held in Amsterdam, Netherlands from September 6 through September 8, 2019. What is even more exciting for me is that I will be participating as a featured speaker at the conference.

https://live2019.myheritage.com/
Here are two more of the speakers who did not fit in my first screenshot.

Earlybird registration is already open for a special rate of €150. That works out to about $178 US at the current exchange rate which of course can change daily. Click here for registration information. Accommodations are available at the Hilton Amsterdam.

I will obviously have a lot more information about this wonderful conference once more details are available.

Saturday, February 9, 2019

Will Computer Programs Replace Genealogists?

With a combination of record hints, DNA tests and optical character recognition could a computer program construct a verified family tree? For many people living today, I believe this question has long been answered. Some time ago, MyHeritage.com introduced notes "Instant Discoveries" and I have seen the program time after time produce a valid and sourced, albeit limited, family tree for users. Given the research skills of the majority of people constructing family trees on the large online websites, it is only a matter of time before the online websites implement programming that automatically verifies and corrects entries.

Obviously, the main obstacle for the complete replacement of the genealogists lies in the implementation of optical character recognition software that can read handwriting, i.e. handwriting recognition software. With the addition of artificial intelligence, the need for human intervention would be minimized.

FamilySearch.org and MyHeritage.com have both implemented error correction technology that now advises users of inconsistencies in their existing family tree data. The step that is missing is to make such programming intervene in the entry process and correct the existing entries. An intermediate step would be to mark questionable entries this has already been implemented to a small degree on FamilySearch.org.

Many genealogists already rely on computer programs that analyze DNA tests which are now being used as a matter of course to resolve criminal actions in the courts. So let's suppose this scenario. You take a DNA test from a large online genealogy based website with sophisticated programming. Your DNA test is then matched to millions of other users of the same website. The program behind the website then constructs a potential family tree relationship between the users. Meanwhile, the program has been analyzing billions of written records. The information from those records is then integrated into the structure created by the DNA testing. Hypothetical relationships are then analyzed comparing the DNA testing results to the information contained in the written records. As is already possible, the program compiles a list of "sources" and determines the relative possibility of relationships based on the accumulated sources and the DNA testing results. Previously submitted family trees are further analyzed to see if they reinforce or detract from the constructed family tree data.

As this hypothetical system becomes more and more sophisticated, it will become at least as accurate as any present genealogical analysis. Missing parts of this constructed family tree will be noted due to missing source information, i.e. documents that support conclusions. How will this be any different than what we have today? It will be a lot more accurate.

What are the implications of this scenario? What were the implications of the Internet when it was first introduced? Will I still have a job in the future? Considering my age I doubt that this will happen before I end up in the care center or pass on to my reward. But for many people living today, this is not a merely theoretical possibility. Maybe worrying about whether or not you can get younger people involved in genealogical research does the wrong thing to worry about. Maybe we should worry about the implications of creating a worldwide family tree showing that we really are all related. However, when you think about the possibility of worldwide family tree the reality is that records do not exist to connect every person to every other person on the face of the earth. The genetically, we are certainly all related.

Thursday, February 7, 2019

Why does my DNA Test Ethnicity Change?


This is my original Ancestry.com DNA Test from May of 2017. The summary of the results was as follows:
  • Great Britain 55%
  • Scandinavia 29%
  • The Iberian Peninsula 11%
  • Ireland 5%
Time has passed an I have grown older and now my ethnicity has changed. Here is what the test results show today, for the same test. 


This notice comes up when I go to look at my results:


You might notice that both estimates add up to 100%. Would the earlier results have caused me to start trying to find my "Iberian" ancestors? What do these DNA test results tell me that I didn't already know? More importantly, what kind of changes will I see in my results in another year or two?

Let's think about a little bit of history here. If your ancestors came from England, as mine obviously did from all the research I have done, where did the people who now live in England come from? Why doesn't my ethnicity estimate simply reflect the origin of the people who live in England? If you want a current summary of the historical origins of the English people, here is one article that will give you some pause to accept DNA testing ethnicities on their face value: "Myths of British ancestry." See also this book by the same author as the article:

Oppenheimer, Stephen. 2012. The Origins of the British.

A more fundamental question for genealogists is what does all this have to do with genealogy? I am going to give my own opinion here and say not much if anything. It all falls into the category of so what? 

So what is the real value of DNA testing for genealogists? The answer is not obvious because of the hype over ethnicity results. The real value is in assisting in identifying relatives in the first four to six generations. Past that, it is sales hype. Alright, in some unique cases where extensive genealogical research has been done, you might be able to push an extensive DNA testing study to help identify more remote ancestors, but the real value is much more close to the first few generations. 

The second major point about genealogical DNA testing is that it only makes sense in the context of a carefully and well-researched family tree. If you take a DNA test, you may have an unknown parent or sibling, but unless you do more and have access to and connect with a database of others with the same test, you will never know. 

Have you looked at the results of your DNA test lately? Have the results changed from the original estimates? Isn't this estimate sort of like the weather forecasters modifying their predictions after rain or snow has started falling? Were you told that your "estimate" would change over time?

Should you take a DNA test? Yes, if you want to do so. But how about participating in genealogical research also and put your family tree online so you and others can see who you are and who you are related to. After all, we are all family. 

Tuesday, February 5, 2019

Google's Shutdown of Google+

https://support.google.com/plus/answer/9217723?hl=en
Google has announced that Google+ will shut down in April 2019. However, I am presently not able to easily post my blogs or anything else to the website. If you have been following my blogs on Google+, I suggest that you now follow or at least like my Facebook page for Genealogy's Star where I will be posting links to all of my various blog posts. Also, see @Genealogysstar.

https://www.facebook.com/Genealogysstar/?ref=bookmarks
If you have some kind of aversion to Facebook, then you could subscribe with FeedBurner or by email. There are links to subscribe located in the information on the right-hand sidebar of my posts.



You can follow my blog, Rejoice, and be exceeding glad..., by following my Facebook page or by email with the link in the sidebar. My third blog, WalkingArizona,  also has a link to follow the blog in the sidebar.

Monday, February 4, 2019

What can you learn from taking a DNA test?


The real answer to the question in the title of this post is it depends. But commonly, the answer is absolutely nothing. For example, telling me that I am 74% English is not surprising and after doing genealogical research for 38 years it is hardly new information. But before you start to respond with a list of all the things you learned from your own DNA test, hear me out.

A DNA test taken in isolation from its context is only useful when placed in the context with the purpose for which it was taken. If you take a DNA test for medical reasons, the test only becomes valuable when it is analyzed and interpreted in light of current medical research. If you take a DNA test for forensic reasons, it is only useful in the context of some type of legal action. If you take a DNA test to support genealogical research conclusions it is only useful if you have done careful and complete genealogical research. A more simple example is taking a DNA test from a genealogical database company. In that context, the results of your test are only useful if your test is compared to that of many other people taking the same test. In other words, the value of the DNA test is in the accuracy of the DNA matches. In my case, I have not learned anything that I did not already know.

If you start reading the flood of commentary on DNA testing, you will soon see that most of the comments relate to "discoveries"  that are made as a result of a DNA test taken in conjunction with a database of other people who have taken the same test. So far, the DNA tests that I've taken have matched me with a very small number of people who are classified as extended family. My own case, the number of people in this category is 11. Of those people, six do not have a family tree in the website providing the DNA test and since these people are living none of them appear in my family research. In short, I have no idea who these people are. So the fact that I am related to someone named "Sarah" is absolutely useless information to me. Granted, I could contact that person through the program but if she does not have a family tree how will she know how she is related to me?

In short, a DNA test is only valuable and only provides information if it is placed in the context of the research that it is intended to support. Again returning to the online stories about DNA testing, many of them relate how someone is surprised or even overwhelmed by learning that they have a certain ethnicity. But it is seldom emphasized that this conclusion comes only as a result of the DNA testing company having matched the results of the individual's DNA test to hundreds or thousands or even millions of other people taking the same test. But even with a database of millions of people, the DNA testing company will need to do careful research matching certain DNA sequences to people in a certain geographic area. If you took a DNA test some time ago, you have likely found that the results of your test have changed over time. This happens as a result of the DNA testing companies refining the results of the DNA tests as more and more tests are taken. So what happens if you based your actions or impressions on your initial test results received a year or two ago? Are you prepared to reassess your original impressions every time the DNA company refines and changes the percentages of ethnicity reported?

Another interesting fact is that despite the thousands of DNA matches I have received and continue to receive notice of, I have yet to have anyone contact me for genealogical information simply because of the DNA testing match. In those few cases when a person who has an extensive family tree matches to my DNA test, I almost certainly have already been notified through tree matching technology of that particular relationship. Granted, DNA testing may help to confirm that we both have fairly accurate research but without the extensive family tree research that preceded the test, the information would be essentially useless.

Hypothetical situation. But suppose that you were adopted and that you did not know either your birth mother for birth father. Let's further suppose that you take a popular DNA test. Will taking that test help you identify your birthparents? The answer is simple. Test results will only identify your birth parents if someone who is related to you, either your birthparents or another close relative, takes the same DNA test. So in that situation, if you were truly trying to find your birth parents, you would take every single test available. Doing so would increase the chances that one of your relatives had taken the same test. Granted, there are likely people out there who have done that, i.e. taken a series of DNA tests. But the companies who report the stories of people finding their relatives usually do not mention the fact that the person may have taken more than one DNA test.

The current DNA technology certainly increases the possibility that an orphan will find his or her birth parents or some other close relative. But it is my impression that reports of confirming extensive genealogical research conclusions only occurs when the people involved have been doing genealogical research extensively for many years. Meanwhile, what motivation do I have to contact Sarah who is a first cousin twice removed or fourth cousin who does not have a family tree?

Sunday, February 3, 2019

What will you lose if a website goes down?


This prominent notice should remind all of us of the ephemeral nature of online websites. Of course, Google+ is not a website I would ever have considered useful for storing any type of information, I am certain that there are a number of people who have posted photos or other information on the website that they would like to have preserved. We often get into a discussion about the relative merits of the different methods of backing out computerized data but the real issue is permanence.

If we rely on mechanical devices we can basically predict that they will fail after a certain period of usage. In this case, redundancy is the rule. For that reason, I use multiple external hard drives for backing up most of my information. However, it is shortsighted to use mechanical and or flash memory devices exclusively. Given the low cost of online storage, it is always a good idea to employ redundancy in this regard also. Some online websites that purport to be backup solutions are really only useful for temporary storage of documents which may need to be used on different devices. Other online data storage websites are best suited merely for the purpose of transferring files and allowing multiple individuals to work on files at the same time.

I would suggest, that just as we can predict that the mechanical device will inevitably fail, we can also predict that any one particular storage solution that is entirely online may also fail.

Do your homework! Before relying on online storage make sure that you have considered all of the options.