Monday, January 6, 2020
Yuma, Arizona Family History Seminar
This is an invitation to the annual Yuma, Arizona Family History Discovery Day or Yuma Family History Seminar. I have been attending this seminar/discovery day for some years now and have enjoyed the hospitality and warm weather during the conference even though it actually rained one year. My wife, Ann, and I will both be teaching three classes each. Hope to see you there. Here are the particulars since they are hard to read from the poster.
Family History Discovery Day
7:30 am to 3:00 pm
January 25th, 2020
4300 West 16th Street
For information send an email to YumaFamilyHistoryCenter@gmail.com
or click here for registration: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSd-fIacPjj0Cgn2JVCkkz7t-MITZFJ9KIBfM7p4PVKSrH-1oQ/viewform
Click here for more information: https://betacdn.familysearch.org/wiki/en/Yuma_Arizona_Family_History_Center
RootsTech Attendance
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| https://www.familysearch.org/blog/en/familysearch-2019-year-in-review/ |
How does the FamilySearch sponsored annual RootsTech Conference attendance compare to other national (and international) conferences? What is the attendance trend at the RootsTech Conference in Salt Lake City, Utah for the last few years?
Since there has only been one RootsTech Conference in London, I am not going to include those attendance figures in this post. Overall Rootstech conference attendance includes paid admissions, exhibitors and their support personnel, FamilySearch staff and volunteers, and on Saturday, members of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints who attend for free on a limited basis for Family Discovery Day. The numbers reported are sometimes rounded and not at all specific. Here are some of the attendance figures reported for the past few years.
2019
2018
2017
Estimated to be 12,000 attendees with 30,000 registered attendees on the Family Discovery Day
2016
Over 25,000 attendees, no figures for Family Discover Day, including online attendees, the number is 375,000 that includes Includes in-person, online, and local Family Discovery Day events.
2015
Reported to be 23,918 attendees with 10,216 paid attendees and 15,765 Family Discovery Day attendees
2014
7,253 paid attendees with 6,900 Family Discovery Day attendees
2013
6,770 total registered attendees and 1,500 youth attended the special youth orientation program
In some cases, it is unclear how registrations compare to the total numbers of attendees. It is difficult to compare the attendance from year to year but it is clear that 2019 was down from recent previous years.
These figures show an upward trend, except for from 2018 to 2019, over the years especially if you factor in the number of people reached online. It will be interesting to see how the figures change for 2020 and whether or not the London conference will have an impact on the overall attendance in the U.S.
Saturday, January 4, 2020
Can you prove anything with historical records?
Let's suppose, as I started to illustrate in a previous post entitled, "What is a Genealogical Proof?", that you found the following record about one of your relatives.
This is an Arizona birth certificate. Does this document "prove" that Wallace Ove Tanner was born on August 12, 1924? What would it take to prove that he was actually born on that date? There are several reasons why this document is not conclusive of a birth date. An oral history account of the event would cast some doubt on its accuracy. How many more documents do we need to "prove" that he was born on the date recorded on the certificate? What if there was never any controversy over the supposed date?
In the legal law of evidence, the reliability of all evidence is divided up into several categories. As I discussed in my previous post, in court actions (trials and evidentiary hearings) there is always a burden of proof. Here is a pretty good summary of evidentiary concerns from Wikipedia: Evidence (law).
The quantum of evidence is the amount of evidence needed; the quality of proof is how reliable such evidence should be considered. Important rules that govern admissibility concern hearsay, authentication, relevance, privilege, witnesses, opinions, expert testimony, identification and rules of physical evidence. There are various standards of evidence or standards showing how strong the evidence must be to meet the legal burden of proof in a given situation, ranging from reasonable suspicion to preponderance of the evidence, clear and convincing evidence, or beyond a reasonable doubt.
There are several types of evidence, depending on the form or source. Evidence governs the use of testimony (e.g., oral or written statements, such as an affidavit), exhibits (e.g., physical objects), documentary material, or demonstrative evidence, which are admissible (i.e., allowed to be considered by the trier of fact, such as jury) in a judicial or administrative proceeding (e.g., a court of law). (links omitted)How would you evaluate the above birth certificate? I suspect that almost all genealogical researchers who had no legal training would immediately assume that the birth certificate was the final arbiter of the date of birth. Of course, at this point, you are going to ask whether or not there is any other "evidence" that the date is not correct? What if there is? What if there is not?
You could also take the position that a birth certificate is nice but not really necessary. We can always assume that any record that shows that a person lived implies a birth and so focusing or fixating on any one type of document is unnecessary and unproductive. In reality, any document that positively fixes a person to a date and a place is sufficient to imply birth.
At this juncture when considering the reliability of any particular document, the "traditional' genealogical approach is to start borrowing the "standards of evidence or proof" from the legal profession. I am sure there are genealogists who would automatically consider a birth certificate like the one above as "beyond a reasonable doubt." However, from my perspective as a lawyer, all historical documents are suspect and none of them individually fall into either the category of clear and convincing evidence or beyond a reasonable doubt. All we can really say about historical/genealogical documents is that they provide unsubstantiated information or raw information and each researcher has to draw their own opinions and conclusions.
Why do I take this position? None of the people named in the birth certificate are still alive. It is as simple as that. If I were presenting this document in a court of law as evidence, I would have to use either the "Government Document" or self-authenticating exception to the hearsay rule to get this document admitted into evidence. But even if the document is admitted into evidence, it still does not mean I can unqualifiedly represent as factual everything in the document. The hearsay rule still applies to the statements made in the document. The hearsay rules are fairly complicated and despite common usage of the term by laymen, hearsay is not something that a non-lawyer is likely to understand. In fact, there are quite a few practicing lawyers who apparently do not understand the evidentiary rules about hearsay. But that does mean that genealogists are restricted from considering historical records that are blatant hearsay? Absolutely not. There are no restrictions on the use of historical documents or records by historians and genealogists. If you don't like the conclusion I have drawn from the records I cite, then you can certainly write or post your own opinion.
Equally, the Government Document rule of evidence falls into the category of "self-authenticating" and that exception to the hearsay rule is just that, an exception. The rule does not mean the document is necessarily more valuable, factual or "true" in any sense of the word. It is considered just like any other evidence. The only advantage of the Government Document rule in court is that you do not have to authenticate the document with the same level of testimony as you would with other documents, hence the term "self-authenticating."
So why do genealogists cloak their opinions about the validity of historical documents or records in legal jargon? Good question. My perspective is that using legal jargon is a support for charging a fee for doing genealogical research. Can you prove anything with historical records? Yes, you can prove someone needs to pay for genealogical research. Are the continual references to quasi-legal evidentiary categories helpful in clarifying the basis for a professional opinion as to the usefulness or validity of any particular historical records? Not really.
Let's suppose I rely on the above birth certificate to establish the birthdate and place of the person named in the record. Let's further suppose that we find another government document in the form of the U.S. Social Security Death Index and that record also indicates a birth date of 12 August 1924. Does that additional record help substantiate the first record? Not at all. The deceased person may not have known his own birthdate and used the date on his birth certificate during his lifetime when asked for his birthdate. Is the SSDI record reliable for the date of death? Maybe. Are we worried that the person is not dead? Remember Rule Two of the Rules of Genealogy: "Absence of an obituary or death notice does not mean the person is still alive."
We don't prove history. We interpret and form opinions about history. We also extrapolate theories about the parts of history where no records exist. If genealogy is nothing more or less than a collection of opinions, some of which are dressed up in jargon, what is the use of becoming an expert in genealogical research? Simple. I am not saying that doing the research and reviewing and citing the historical record is not necessary, it just doesn't need to be dressed up in legal jargon. If I believe that, for a number of reasons, my father's birthday was August 12, 1924, and you disagree, then it is up to you to show me (and everyone else who might be interested) how you arrived at your opinion. If you simply decide that you don't believe the written documents and records but cannot support your conclusions with a cited reference or source, then I have no reason to change my own opinion. Let's suppose that you do find a journal or a record of an oral history that substantiates a different date. If I agree, I can change my own opinion. But there are no genealogical courts, no genealogical judges or juries, and in their absence, my opinion is just a valid as yours.
What if I think that your whole online family tree is fake and unreliable? So what? Are under some genealogical burden to correct all the mistakes and inaccuracies in the world. But wait. What about the situation where a supposed genealogist takes money for doing research and supplies an entirely imaginative pedigree? What if that situation ends up with a fraud claim in court? Then the law takes over and all the rules apply. Can you be punished for doing a poor job of research on your own pedigree and coming up with the wrong ancestry? Maybe that would be a good idea but then we would have to appoint some genealogy judges and organize some genealogical courts.
Now, once again we get to DNA. Isn't DNA a scientific way of proving relationships? Are the limits on the ability of DNA tests to establish a relationship? Sorry, but you will still have to wait until I decided to write some more about DNA. But I can say that DNA test results are pretty persuasive and I would be inclined to believe in their limited reliability. I am prepared to give examples.
Friday, January 3, 2020
What is a Genealogical Proof?

An evidence class is one of the basic first-year requirements for graduating from law school and teaches would-be lawyers the basic rules that govern the admissibility of evidence in civil and criminal trial proceedings. After graduating from law school and over my many years of both civil and criminal trial experience, I was made painfully aware that very few non-lawyers (usually referred to as clients or potential clients) had the faintest idea about the concept of proof in the context of a civil or criminal trial. The interesting thing about proof in the legal sense is that ultimately a judge or a jury has to decide between the parties and make a decision or judgment even if they really believe that all of the parties are wrong.
I used to review this situation with my clients who were on their way to court by explaining that there was the "truth" my client believed, the "truth" of the opposing party and during the trial, the "truth" of the trial (judge or jury) would evolve and it was entirely possible that all three were wrong and even if one of the "truths" was right, the "truth" of the trial, right or wrong, would prevail. I also observed that what I thought was the "Truth" of the case would probably not make any difference at all since I was there to represent the "truth" of my client. My job was to try to persuade the judge and jury if there was one to rule in favor of my client regardless of the ultimate concept of truth. This process was what was involved in "proving my clients' cases."
One main difference between my representation of clients in court and my work in genealogy is that I can choose my clients and thereby perhaps increase my chances of proving their cases but I cannot choose my relatives so I am stuck with what information has come down to me in the form of documents and records.
With my many years of experience trying to prove my cases, I am very skeptical about the possibility of "proving" any particular genealogical "truth."
Some time ago, I wrote a blog post entitled, "Can you prove anything?" This is part of what I wrote.
The basic answer to the question in the title of this post is both yes and no. You can believe something because of your own personal experience, but you cannot prove your experience to others unless they are willing to go through the same process you go through to achieve your own certain knowledge. When we are talking about history and historical records, we move into the area of opinion. The degree of believability of your conclusions and opinions is based entirely on the arguments you develop based on the historical records you can use to support your claims.In law, we have three different "burdens:" the burden of production, the burden of persuasion, and finally the consolidation of those two in the burden of proof. Initially, a party to a lawsuit has a duty of production. The party must provide evidence that supports his or her claim. On the other hand, the burden of persuasion moves beyond the burden of production to the duty of any party to a lawsuit to convince the fact-finder (judge or jury) that their case is "correct" and should prevail. i.e. that the evidence presented is credible and sufficient. The burden of proof is the obligation of each of the parties to a dispute to provide evidence sufficient to establish a prima facie case, that is, a case that is legally sufficient to require a decision by a judge or jury. Failure to carry the burden of proof of a prima facie case usually results in that party's loss. The whole process is almost infinitely more complicated but essentially these basic considerations govern everything that happens in court.
Subsequently, what has all this to do with genealogy? Almost absolutely nothing. As I have pointed out several times in past blog posts and in classes, genealogy involves historical research it is not and cannot be adversarial. There are no genealogical juries or judges. That is the point. Genealogical or historical research is not legal research and the process of consulting the records and documents and forming an opinion about what we create as our own historical reality bears no relationship to a court case.
The fact that some (or most) genealogists use legal terminology when referring to their historical research comes from a number of lawyers who were or are today genealogists. Lawyers tend to believe that their opinions can be "proved." Good lawyers (ones who know what they can and cannot do as lawyers) tend to prevail more than bad lawyers (those who put more faith in their opinions than they do the law). When good lawyers do genealogical and historical research they tend to be persuasive.
Now it is time to give some examples. Let's suppose you are looking for a birth date of one of your ancestors. Let's further suppose that this person lived in the 20th Century when there were documents we call birth certificates. Continuing on with this hypothetical situation, you actually find a birth certificate. Hmm. Have you now "proved" the date on which this person was born? Could the birth certificate be intentionally or unintentionally wrong? Who created the birth certificate? Was the person who created the birth certificate there at the time the baby was born? Let's look at a birth certificate and see if we can answer these questions.
The information in this birth certificate is certified by the signature of someone who is supposed to be an attending physician or midwife. Look at the date of the signature. Look at what is represented as the date of birth. They are a month apart. Now, what is the story I have been told about my father's birth? My Grandmother was ready to have a baby and was alone in her parents' house in the very small town of St. Johns, Arizona. She was able to make it into the kitchen where the door to the outside was open or blew open because of a thunderstorm. The baby was born on the kitchen floor with rain blowing in from the storm. When was the baby born? Did my Grandmother jump up and write all of this down? So, there was no attending physician and no midwife. Who told the person who signed the birth certificate about the birth? Do you still think that this birth certificate proves when my father was born? Does it really matter?
As genealogists, we are prone to believe that the documents we find are "evidence." In a loose way of speaking, they are evidence of something but they are not proof of anything. They may be persuasive and we may believe them, but they are not proof. Proof involves a set of rules and a judge or jury. Can you prove when you were born? In the end, aren't you relying on a document or story told to you by your parents? Does the absence of contradictory "evidence" prove the assertion of the available evidence? It does in court but I submit it does not in historical research. The next document you find may disprove everything you have assumed to be the "truth." Genealogical proof is nothing more than an accumulation of opinions and conclusions based on documents that may or may not be reliable.
For more see: "The Basic Uncertainty of all Historical Research"
Now a note about DNA testing. Isn't that scientific? Isn't that proof? That is the topic of another blog post.
2020 Legacy Family Tree Webinars Series Announced - TechZone added
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| https://news.legacyfamilytree.com/legacy_news/2019/12/2020-legacy-family-tree-webinars-series-announced.html |
Legacy Family Tree Webinars provides genealogy education where-you-are through live and recorded online webinars and videos. Learn from the best instructors in genealogy including Thomas MacEntee, Judy Russell, J. Mark Lowe, Lisa Louise Cooke, Megan Smolenyak, Tom Jones, and many more. Learn at your convenience. On-demand classes are available 24 hours a day! All you need is a computer or mobile device with an Internet connection.
Subscribe today and get access to this BONUS members-only webinar AND all of this:I guess you could view the overall series as a collection of sub-series. Here is the list of webinar categories mentioned in the post.It's just $49.95/year.
- All 1,088 classes in the library (1,375 hours of quality genealogy education)
- 4,657 pages of instructors' handouts
- Chat logs from the live webinars
- Additional 5% off anything at FamilyTreeWebinars.com
- Chance for a bonus subscribers-only door prize during each live webinar
- Additional members-only webinars
- Legacy Family Tree Webinars
- Board for Certification of Genealogists monthly webinar series
- MyHeritage Webinar Series
- Down under series for genealogists in Australia and New Zealand
In addition, the entire series will be augmented by the new TechZone. Here is a description of the TechZone:
In addition to the live webinars, the new TechZone–a library of forty brand new tech videos–all 10-minutes-or-less–is now available. New videos will be released every Friday on all sorts of topics: Google, Excel, browser tips, mobile apps, Windows shortcuts, using Evernote, Facebook, chromosome browsers, using and improving your family videos and photos, and so much more. The TechZone is a new membership benefit where webinar members have free, anytime, unlimited access.I have done a couple of webinars for the Legacy Family Tree Webinars in the past. In 2020, I will be doing three webinars for the MyHeritage Webinar Series. You can see the complete, upcoming webinar schedule here:
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| https://familytreewebinars.com/upcoming-webinars-multireg.php |
Wednesday, January 1, 2020
I am Being Shut Out of Facebook
Apparently, whenever I post anything on Facebook from my blog and mention The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, some or all of my posts are being reported as abusive and being blocked by Facebook. Apparently, it is OK to report false news and support conspiracies but not talk about genealogy and mention the Church. The blocking doesn't seem to be consistent but many of the things I have posted for the past few days have been marked as abusive and blocked. I have sent in several requests for review but have not received any responses. You can view all of my posts on Twitter, Pinterest, and LinkedIn. If this post is blocked, you can also read it on Blogger.
https://genealogysstar.blogspot.com/
The MyHeritage Year in Review
The above infographic from MyHeritage.com summarizes its progress during the calendar year 2019. Some of the totals as of January 1, 2020 that are not on that graphic and can also be summarized as follows:
- The number of historical records indexed and searchable on the MyHeritage.com website: 11,047,483,394
- The number of users: 109 million
- The number of profiles on the website: 3.5 billion
- The number of family trees on the website: 49 million
- The total number of employees: 420
- The number of profiles added daily: 1.7 million
- The number of acquisitions: 9
MyHeritage is unique in providing this type of information about the company. Some of the other large online genealogical database companies that host family trees supply some information about their company's actual number of records and such but none to the extent that is disclosed by MyHeritage.
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